2025 California Almond Harvest Outlook

Crop Conditions Going Into the Season

California's Central Valley almond orchards are entering the 2025 harvest season in excellent condition. A wetter-than-average winter followed by a mild spring has set the stage for strong bloom-set and kernel development across the major growing regions of Fresno, Kern, Tulare, and Merced counties.

Projected Volume

Industry estimates from the Almond Board of California suggest a crop in the range of 1.25 to 1.35 billion pounds (shelled basis), representing a moderate increase over 2024. Nonpareil variety — which accounts for the majority of Calmond Valley's export portfolio — is expected to perform particularly well, with above-average sizing driven by optimal water availability during hull split.

Harvest Timing

Mechanical shaking is expected to begin in early August for early-season varieties and extend through October for Monterey and Butte/Padre types. Our processing facility will begin receiving new-crop almonds in mid-August, with export-ready inventory available from September onwards.

Quality Expectations

Early sample analysis indicates excellent colour scores and low damage rates. Our quality control team will be conducting lot-by-lot certificate of analysis reviews before any product is cleared for export. Buyers can expect consistent sizing on standard screen sizes (18/20, 20/22, 23/25) across all major varieties.

What This Means for Buyers

We recommend that importers and distributors with Q4 volume requirements begin contracting conversations early. New-crop pricing will be confirmed as harvest progresses, but current forward indications are favourable. Contact our sales team to discuss your requirements.