US Almond Exports Near Record Levels: What It Means for B2B Buyers

Export Volume Context

The US almond industry, led entirely by California, ships between 1.2 and 1.5 billion pounds of almonds per year to international markets — representing approximately 70% of total California production. In recent crop years, combined domestic and export demand has pushed shipments to near-record levels, absorbing most of the available supply and creating a seller-favored market across most product categories.

Top Destination Markets

The European Union collectively remains the largest destination for California almonds, led by Germany, Spain, Italy, and the Netherlands, which serve as both end markets and transshipment hubs for further distribution across Europe and into MENA. India has grown into the second-largest individual country destination, driven by rising middle-class consumption and the established role of almonds in Indian cuisine, Ayurveda, and gifting traditions. China, Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam represent the major Asia-Pacific growth markets, with demand driven by health-conscious consumers and premium ingredient sourcing by local food manufacturers.

Product Mix Trends

Whole inshell almonds have declined as a proportion of exports, while value-added formats — sliced, slivered, diced, blanched, and processed forms including almond flour, almond butter, and almond oil — have grown. This reflects the maturation of industrial almond demand globally as food manufacturers increasingly seek ready-to-use ingredient formats rather than raw commodity product.

Pricing Environment

Near-record shipment volumes have generally corresponded with periods of tight supply and elevated handler prices, though year-to-year pricing is significantly influenced by California crop size (set each spring based on bloom and crop surveys), competing nut prices (walnuts, cashews, pistachios), and currency movements in key buyer markets. B2B buyers are advised to lock in forward pricing agreements where possible to manage budget volatility.

Implications for Import Planning

In a tight supply environment, B2B importers who establish direct supplier relationships, maintain approved vendor lists with multiple sourcing options, and provide rolling 6-month demand forecasts are best positioned to secure consistent supply. Calmond Valley offers supply agreements with quarterly price reviews and guaranteed minimum volumes for qualifying customers.